Dr Joao Sousa

Senior Economist (Senior K E Fellow)

Economics

Contact

Personal statement

João is a Senior Knowledge Excahnge Fellow and Deputy Director at the Fraser of Allander Institute, where he works on fiscal issues, macroeconomics and business engagement.

João has over 10 years' experience as an applied economist. Previously, he was a Senior Fiscal Analyst at the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), where he led on analysis of long-term sustainability of the UK's public finances and on the effect of economic developments and fiscal policy on the UK's medium-term outlook. At the OBR, he also worked on Brexit-related modelling for the UK's new external tariff, and was the lead forecaster for public spending. João had previously worked at HM Revenue and Customs on tax modelling and tax gap estimation, and has experience in economic consulting.

João has recently concluded his PhD in Economics at Birkbeck, University of London. His research focusses on determining the impact of government spending on economic growth, for which he has collected and used archival data from the UK Parliament.

João's main areas of expertise include econometric analysis, tax and spending modelling, macroeconomic forecasting, government debt sustainability analysis, demand modelling and economic statistics. João is regularly asked to provide expert evidence to Parliament through the Finance and Public Administration Committee, and is a member of the ScotStat Board.

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Professional Activities

Podcast: Disability benefit cuts and limited fiscal headroom – Reflections on the spring statement
Participant
28/3/2025
Podcast - What is the Barnett formula?
Participant
4/3/2025
Podcast - Scottish Budget 2024 Reaction
Participant
6/12/2024
A Budget with an eye on the election but storing up risks
Contributor
4/12/2024
Podcast - Big taxes, big spending – A look at the UK budget statement
Participant
31/10/2024
Rachel Reeves has made life easier for John Swinney’s government
Recipient
30/10/2024

More professional activities

Projects

Scottish Budget Analysis (Strand 2 & 3)
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator) Congreve, Emma (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2025 - 31-Jan-2025
Scottish Budget Analysis (Strand 1)
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator) Spowage, Mairi (Co-investigator)
15-Jan-2024 - 31-Jan-2024
Police Officer Pay and Benefits - Independent Review / Research
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator) Findlay, Patricia (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2024 - 30-Jan-2025
General Election 2024 - Implications for Scotland
Spowage, Mairi (Principal Investigator) Sousa, Joao (Co-investigator)
22-Jan-2024 - 31-Jan-2024
Macroeconomic consultancy for the King’s and Lord Treasurer’s Remembrancer
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator) Milne, Katherine (Researcher)
13-Jan-2024 - 29-Jan-2024
Policy Modelling to Inform Ways to Reduce Poverty
Randolph, Hannah (Principal Investigator) Congreve, Emma (Co-investigator) Sousa, Joao (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2024 - 30-Jan-2024

More projects

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Contact

Dr Joao Sousa
Senior Economist (Senior K E Fellow)
Economics

Email: joao.sousa@strath.ac.uk
Tel: Unlisted