Dr Joao Sousa

Senior Economist (Senior K E Fellow)

Economics

Contact

Personal statement

João is a Senior Knowledge Excahnge Fellow and Deputy Director at the Fraser of Allander Institute, where he works on fiscal issues, macroeconomics and business engagement.

João has over 10 years' experience as an applied economist. Previously, he was a Senior Fiscal Analyst at the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), where he led on analysis of long-term sustainability of the UK's public finances and on the effect of economic developments and fiscal policy on the UK's medium-term outlook. At the OBR, he also worked on Brexit-related modelling for the UK's new external tariff, and was the lead forecaster for public spending. João had previously worked at HM Revenue and Customs on tax modelling and tax gap estimation, and has experience in economic consulting.

João has recently concluded his PhD in Economics at Birkbeck, University of London. His research focusses on determining the impact of government spending on economic growth, for which he has collected and used archival data from the UK Parliament.

João's main areas of expertise include econometric analysis, tax and spending modelling, macroeconomic forecasting, government debt sustainability analysis, demand modelling and economic statistics. João is regularly asked to provide expert evidence to Parliament through the Finance and Public Administration Committee, and is a member of the ScotStat Board.

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Professional Activities

Interview for broadcast media - BBC Radio Scotland
Recipient
15/4/2025
Weekly update: an economy buffeted by headwinds, but in slightly better shape than previously thought
Contributor
11/4/2025
Interview for broadcast media - BBC Radio Scotland
Interviewee
11/4/2025
Interview for broadcast media - BBC Radio Scotland
Interviewee
10/4/2025
Interview for broadcast media - BBC Scotland
Interviewee
10/4/2025
Interview for broadcast media - BBC Radio Scotland
Interviewee
5/4/2025

More professional activities

Projects

Scottish and UK public finances and macroeconomic engagement 2025-26
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2025 - 31-Jan-2026
Scottish Budget Analysis (Strand 2 & 3)
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator) Congreve, Emma (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2025 - 31-Jan-2025
Scottish Budget Analysis (Strand 1)
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator) Spowage, Mairi (Co-investigator)
15-Jan-2024 - 31-Jan-2024
Police Officer Pay and Benefits - Independent Review / Research
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator) Findlay, Patricia (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2024 - 30-Jan-2025
General Election 2024 - Implications for Scotland
Spowage, Mairi (Principal Investigator) Sousa, Joao (Co-investigator)
22-Jan-2024 - 31-Jan-2024
Macroeconomic consultancy for the King’s and Lord Treasurer’s Remembrancer
Sousa, Joao (Principal Investigator) Milne, Katherine (Researcher)
13-Jan-2024 - 29-Jan-2024

More projects

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Contact

Dr Joao Sousa
Senior Economist (Senior K E Fellow)
Economics

Email: joao.sousa@strath.ac.uk
Tel: Unlisted